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The Eye in the Sky!
March 22nd, 2006, 08:53 PM
In light of the Final Table seating and chip arrangements, I have looked at the players and calculated some odds of my own. Unlike other odds, I am allowing people to post their own opinions on what the odds will be and why. Mine are official since I have final say after watching each one of these guys play extensively.

Here they are:

Tran: 4 to 1. He is arguably the best player in the GWPS. He has yet to show that he will falter under pressure and with the size of his chip stack, he can do some real damage and even overcome Dan's monster lead. Until someone de-thrones him, he is the favorite to repeat.

Dan: 6 to 1. Luck has been on his side and he has improved his game considerably since GWPS 2. He can beat any player with any two cards at times and with that large chip stack to start, he may be too much of an obstacle to overcome.

BTS: 8 to 1. What else can I say besides he has been here twice before? He came one hand short of being a two-time GWPS champion and never seems to leave a table without either winning or placing. If he gets short stacked, he can be beaten. If he gets chips to play with, good night table.

Dean: 10 to 1. While he is not the smartest player at the table (or calmest), he can still prove a worthy opponent. From personal experience, I know Dean can go from worst to first in minutes. His agressive style tends to work unless he runs into bigger stacks. He will start with a middle chip stack so he may be able to work some magic.

Cole: 12 to 1. Normally I'd have Cole with better odds than this but with his severe short starting stack against the monster stacks of Dan, Dean, Tran, and BTS, it will be a struggle for him to get into favorable position. Do not count him out however. I have seen him come back from blind money to dominate a table. It wouldn't surprise me to see him climb to contention.

Joe: 14 to 1. Again this series, he is the underdog. He squeaked into the final table and will start with a severely small chip stack also. I've had the pleasure of playing in several games with Joe and I can say that he, along with BTS, is the most consistent player of the series. He always holds a chip lead but seems to get some bad beats thrown his way. Again, if his chip stack wasn't so small, he'd easily be one a favorite.

Dean
March 22nd, 2006, 10:13 PM
Dean: 10 to 1. While he is not the smartest player at the table

...:(

Ouch.

The Eye in the Sky!
March 22nd, 2006, 11:03 PM
You misinterpret. You are not the most poker savvy but you've got tremendous instincts. Like Cole said, you were made (since you aren't born like normal humans) to play poker.

Benzine
March 22nd, 2006, 11:26 PM
You've got Tran right.

Cluck.
March 22nd, 2006, 11:59 PM
I'd really like to see Cole's odds higher. I've played with him enough that I think he'll get up around mid stack pretty quickly, though i've seen him try to do too much at times and end up severely crippled. I doubt thats the case with this much on the line, but that may just make it worse.

The Eye in the Sky!
March 23rd, 2006, 12:04 AM
The reason he is so low is because he is such a severe short stack. You have to do everything right to win it. I didn't make the odds on whether they could move up a few spots. It will be a struggle, even with his skill, to pull this off.

EDIT:: I've actually decided to up Cole and Joe's odds. One double up puts them in good position.

Coleman
March 23rd, 2006, 12:22 AM
I'd really like to see Cole's odds higher. I've played with him enough that I think he'll get up around mid stack pretty quickly, though i've seen him try to do too much at times and end up severely crippled. I doubt thats the case with this much on the line, but that may just make it worse.Tom has me pegged perfectly though. Tom knows me and my poker game better than anyone here. He's seen me play. He's seen me absolutley DOMINATE a table, and he's also seen me fail miserably.

(Prepare for cardinal sin of poker #1)

My one weakness is also my biggest strength. 9 times out of 10, I know EXACTLY what you are holding. I'll know when you're bluffing and I know when you have the nuts. However, I have a hard time not knowing. So if I have...74 off the big blind, and we're at the river, and you just made a bet. If I sense you're bluffing, even though you probably have me beat, I'll call. Just to prove it. I'm usually talking to Tom on IM during the games and I'll IM him and say "told you". I call just to prove I read correctly.

Will I do good at the table? I f*cking hope so. But I can't argue with Toms current assesment.

Cluck.
March 23rd, 2006, 06:33 PM
I like your lower odds anyway, I love big upsets. So don't screw it up.